What the wind costs a ride

How much a headwind slows you, what a tailwind gives back, and how windy is too windy.

At a steady 150 watts, a rider doing 26.5 km/h in still air slows to about 16 km/h into a 20 km/h headwind, and speeds up to about 40 km/h with it. The tailwind never pays back what the headwind took: a 40 km out and back in a 20 km/h wind takes about 14 minutes longer than in calm air.

The race

Into the wind—
With the wind—
Calm ride—
Windy ride—

The wind costs —

The wind is taken as blowing straight along the road, out and straight back, for an 80 kg rider. A crosswind costs less, and a real forecast changes through the ride.

Why the tailwind never pays it back

You spend longer riding into the wind than with it, because you are slower. In a 20 km/h wind, the 20 km out takes 74 minutes and the 20 km back takes 30. The headwind gets more than twice as long to work on you as the tailwind gets to help, so a windy out and back is always slower than a calm one.

On a loop the same is true, but where you meet the wind can be chosen. Which way round to ride a loop

Into the wind and with it

150 W, 80 kg rider, flat road
WindInto itWith it40 km out and backSame work as
None26.5 km/h26.5 km/h1 h 31 min—
10 km/h20.9 km/h32.7 km/h+3 min33 m of climbing
20 km/h16.2 km/h39.5 km/h+14 min137 m of climbing
30 km/h12.4 km/h46.8 km/h+32 min318 m of climbing
40 km/h9.4 km/h50.0 km/h+1 h 01 min605 m of climbing

Speeds with the wind stop at 50 km/h, where the model assumes you stop pedalling. Same work as: the climb that would cost the same extra effort.

The same sum, in the app

Linje works this out for every ride it builds, with the forecast wind on every stretch at the hour you would reach it. It shows the ride's real climb and, beside it, what the wind makes it feel like, in metres, for the hour you choose.

The model holds your effort steady and lets the speed fall, because that is what riders do: into a headwind you push about as hard as before and go slower.

How windy is too windy to cycle?

There is no single number. For the effort, the table above says what a wind costs, and whether that is too much is your call. For handling it is the gusts that matter, not the average: on an exposed road or a fast descent, look at the gust figure in the forecast.

The Beaufort scale on land, and a 150 W rider into it
ForceWindWhat you seeSpeed into it
2, light breeze6–11 km/hWind felt on the face, leaves rustleabout 22 km/h
3, gentle breeze12–19 km/hLeaves and small twigs in constant motionabout 18 km/h
4, moderate breeze20–28 km/hRaises dust and loose paper, small branches moveabout 15 km/h
5, fresh breeze29–38 km/hSmall trees in leaf begin to swayabout 11 km/h
6, strong breeze39–49 km/hLarge branches move, umbrellas hard to useabout 9 km/h
7, near gale50–61 km/hWhole trees move, hard to walk againstabout 6 km/h

Linje treats anything under about 3.5 m/s, 13 km/h, as calm: below that the wind is not a reason to pick one hour over another. The assumptions behind the model

Questions

How much does a headwind slow you down?

At a steady 150 watts, a rider doing 26.5 km/h in still air does about 21 km/h into a 10 km/h headwind, 16 km/h into 20 km/h and 12 km/h into 30 km/h.

Does a tailwind make up for a headwind?

No. You spend longer riding into the wind than with it, so wind always costs time overall. A 40 km out and back in a 20 km/h wind takes about 14 minutes longer than in calm air at 150 watts.

Is it better to start a ride into the wind?

On an out and back the total time is the same either way, and starting into the wind saves the tailwind for tired legs. On a loop, ride the way round that puts the least headwind on the descents.

How windy is too windy to cycle?

There is no single number. For effort, a 30 km/h headwind more than halves the speed of a 150 watt rider. For handling, watch the gusts: from force 6 on the Beaufort scale, 39 to 49 km/h, a gust on an exposed road or a fast descent can push a bike sideways.

Sources

Figures worked out on with the model in the Linje app.

Where are you riding next?

Linje builds the ride, then works out when to leave and which way round. Join the waitlist for early access.